slainfoe
08-08-04, 11:16 AM
Why to buy NVIDIA stock now.
NVIDIA stock has taken a tumble to $9 a share almost. This is due to bad earnings report issued just the other day. The second quarter sales were less then predicted due to market share loss from ATI and delays in new technology from Intel. A little history follows.
NVIDIA used to be top dog in the video card industry until they released the FX series of video cards. ATI products were superior by a decent amount in things such as pixel shaders and vertex shaders. Pixel shaders and vertex shaders are programming instructions built into the video card GPU that allow things such as shadows to be displayed in games. ATI performance with its Radeon 9600 – 9800 cards were superior to NVIDIA’s FX series cards. As the reviews came out ATI cards soon started being sold more then Nvidia’s.
Then enters Nvidia 6800 series. The 6800 series of cards reestablishes NVIDIA as a great video card maker. Introduced with the 6800 series is the ability to use DirectX 9.0C which is the newest version of Microsoft’s graphical API. ATI countered with its X800 line which lacks Directx 9.0C support but performs as good as NVIDIA cards. This time around if you want future support you buy NVIDIA.
Problems plaguing both companies are the yields on the manufacturing of the cards and meeting market demand. A month ago it was not uncommon to find the NVIDIA cards being sold for $100 markups by online retailers and still being sold out in minutes. ATI still has yet to bring the X800 to market in quantity as I have found more NVIDIA cards for sale then ATI. I was lucky to snatch up a NVIDIA 6800 ultra top of the line card for the list of $499 from best buy.
Now enters ID Software’s Doom 3. For those of you who don’t know anything about Doom 3 or ID software here’s a brief history. In 1993 they released Doom. Doom revolutionized the gaming industry with its fast paced run around shooting demon play style. The game was the first I believe to enter the view point of the player and not side scroll. Doom 2 shortly followed and ID Software went down in history as the best FPS game designer with revolutionary graphic engines. Quake and few other franchises followed further cementing ID’s role. Doom 3 was announced around 3 or 4 years ago and has been in development for 4 years. On August 3rd, 2004 it was released. Most of the industry refers to Doom 3 as the most anticipated game in years. I refer to it as the most anticipated game of the century to date.
Nvidia and Doom 3. Prior to release ID software invited reviewers to its company to benchmark Doom 3. The results surprised everyone. NVIDIA cards priced at $400 beat ATI cards priced at $500. This leads to the theory that NVIDIA 3rd and 4th quarter revenues will be greater then what they were due to correlation between sales of Doom 3 and new computer systems that are capable of playing it with its full settings. This is my whole point. NVIDIA sales will increase thanks to Doom 3, and the release of several other new games such as Everquest 2 which will feature a plays best on NVIDIA logo on the box and websites.
I personally invested $3500 in a new computer and $500 in a NVIDIA 6800 Ultra just so I could play Doom 3 and Everquest 2 at the best possible with hardware that is out now. As supplies start to increase of NVIDIA’s new 6800 series of graphic cards so will sales. Intel also just released its new PCI Express motherboards which will also drive NVIDIA sales since the new boards require new types of graphic card plugin slots.
NVIDIA stock has taken a tumble to $9 a share almost. This is due to bad earnings report issued just the other day. The second quarter sales were less then predicted due to market share loss from ATI and delays in new technology from Intel. A little history follows.
NVIDIA used to be top dog in the video card industry until they released the FX series of video cards. ATI products were superior by a decent amount in things such as pixel shaders and vertex shaders. Pixel shaders and vertex shaders are programming instructions built into the video card GPU that allow things such as shadows to be displayed in games. ATI performance with its Radeon 9600 – 9800 cards were superior to NVIDIA’s FX series cards. As the reviews came out ATI cards soon started being sold more then Nvidia’s.
Then enters Nvidia 6800 series. The 6800 series of cards reestablishes NVIDIA as a great video card maker. Introduced with the 6800 series is the ability to use DirectX 9.0C which is the newest version of Microsoft’s graphical API. ATI countered with its X800 line which lacks Directx 9.0C support but performs as good as NVIDIA cards. This time around if you want future support you buy NVIDIA.
Problems plaguing both companies are the yields on the manufacturing of the cards and meeting market demand. A month ago it was not uncommon to find the NVIDIA cards being sold for $100 markups by online retailers and still being sold out in minutes. ATI still has yet to bring the X800 to market in quantity as I have found more NVIDIA cards for sale then ATI. I was lucky to snatch up a NVIDIA 6800 ultra top of the line card for the list of $499 from best buy.
Now enters ID Software’s Doom 3. For those of you who don’t know anything about Doom 3 or ID software here’s a brief history. In 1993 they released Doom. Doom revolutionized the gaming industry with its fast paced run around shooting demon play style. The game was the first I believe to enter the view point of the player and not side scroll. Doom 2 shortly followed and ID Software went down in history as the best FPS game designer with revolutionary graphic engines. Quake and few other franchises followed further cementing ID’s role. Doom 3 was announced around 3 or 4 years ago and has been in development for 4 years. On August 3rd, 2004 it was released. Most of the industry refers to Doom 3 as the most anticipated game in years. I refer to it as the most anticipated game of the century to date.
Nvidia and Doom 3. Prior to release ID software invited reviewers to its company to benchmark Doom 3. The results surprised everyone. NVIDIA cards priced at $400 beat ATI cards priced at $500. This leads to the theory that NVIDIA 3rd and 4th quarter revenues will be greater then what they were due to correlation between sales of Doom 3 and new computer systems that are capable of playing it with its full settings. This is my whole point. NVIDIA sales will increase thanks to Doom 3, and the release of several other new games such as Everquest 2 which will feature a plays best on NVIDIA logo on the box and websites.
I personally invested $3500 in a new computer and $500 in a NVIDIA 6800 Ultra just so I could play Doom 3 and Everquest 2 at the best possible with hardware that is out now. As supplies start to increase of NVIDIA’s new 6800 series of graphic cards so will sales. Intel also just released its new PCI Express motherboards which will also drive NVIDIA sales since the new boards require new types of graphic card plugin slots.